According to the predictions and observations from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Ticino is likely to endure the effects, both major and minor, of more precipitation, sea level increase in the nearby Ligurian Sea, cyclonic activity in the nearby Atlantic Ocean, increased runoff from the Swiss Alps, and increased average temperatures. These are predictions not to be taken as fact, but as extremely valid possibilities backed up by scientific data and evidence. It is upon this IPCC report that I present what potential risks Ticino may face in the future.
The overall climate of Ticino will most likely become wetter and warmer. The most noticeable extreme event that Ticino will encounter is increased precipitation. The type of damage this can cause is soil erosion, which can have very negative effects on agriculture as the land may become to frail to cultivate. These climatic issues can develop into issues regarding the socioeconomic status of Ticino. It can affect transportation, as roads and access to other cities may be inhibited. Local infrastructure may be damaged from heavy rain and flooding. Perhaps Lake Maggiore and Lake Lugano will flood and damage the homes on the coast of these areas. In fact, Ascona Airport is right off the coast of Lake Maggiore, and to its disadvantage, so are most of the major public transportation lines. If commercial buildings and homes are damaged, the city is no longer operating normally.
I foresee that Ticino is most likely be able to withstand and adapt to these climate changes, as many of them are minor issues compared with the extensive precipitation yet to come. Ticino's location, wedged against the Alps, may come to an advantage so long as the people make active adjustments to these warnings. I'm not necessarily saying "head for the hills", but if they can move to higher elevation if massive flooding does occur, then I believe that is their best bet.
